I don't think Ming will win.... but he may. When the others declare (and I expect Simon Hughes and Mark Oaten) then Campbell must drift from 1.5 -ish, the present price, which will mean excellent trading opportunities, even if Campbell does go on to win. So - current position is:
Market Selection Type Bet ID Bet
placed Odds
req. Stake
(£) Avg. odds
matched Date
matched
O UK / Next Lib Dem Leader David Laws Back 1914159521 08-Jan-06
21:12 44 2.00 45.99 08-Jan-06 21:12
O UK / Next Lib Dem Leader Edward Davey Back 1914159330 08-Jan-06
21:12 55 2.00 55 08-Jan-06 21:12
O UK / Next Lib Dem Leader Mark Oaten Back 1914156065 08-Jan-06
21:10 8.8 9.00 8.84 08-Jan-06 21:10
O UK / Next Lib Dem Leader Simon Hughes Back 1914154956 08-Jan-06
21:09 5.7 10.00 5.75 08-Jan-06 21:09